Platform
Written out far enough that you can tell whether I have actually thought about them, with the arithmetic left in. The first one is the bill. These are the rest.
What's on this page
- The No Rich Politician Act
- Spending that survives daylight
- Social Security, with the arithmetic left in
- Medicare
- Taxes
- Immigration
- Energy and the rigged markets
- Help with an end date
- Veterans
- Technology, data and AI
- Defense
- Mind our business
- The Second Amendment
- Abortion
Every figure on this page, with the document it came from. — And here is what I have not worked out yet.
Spending that survives daylight
Every dollar this government spends should be able to be defended out loud, by name, to the person who earned it.
More than eight thousand local projects were written into this year's federal spending bills. A boat ramp here, a study there, a museum somewhere else. Almost none of them were voted on by themselves. They rode into law inside bills too big to fail, attached to things nobody could vote against, which is precisely why they were put there.
Three changes, none of them complicated:
Everything stands alone
A directed project gets its own line, its own sponsor's name, and its own vote. If a member cannot walk onto the floor and defend a project in front of the people paying for it, the project does not deserve to exist. Most of them would survive that test. The ones that would not are the entire point.
Programs expire on purpose
New spending programs get an expiration date and have to be renewed on evidence, not on inertia. Right now the easiest thing in Washington is to keep funding something that stopped working during a previous administration, because stopping requires a vote and continuing requires nothing at all.
Nobody votes on a bill they have not had time to read
Full text published, publicly, for a fixed number of days before a vote, with no exceptions for the end of a fiscal year. The deadline panic is not an accident. It is the delivery mechanism.
Now the part where I tell you the truth
Those eight thousand projects come to roughly fifteen billion dollars. The deficit this year is running near two trillion. If I eliminated every last one of them tomorrow, I would have closed under one percent of the gap.
Anyone who tells you that cutting waste and fraud balances this budget is either uninformed or counting on you being uninformed. The money is in four places: Social Security, the health programs, defense, and interest on debt we already borrowed. All four have a section on this page. Interest alone is now one of the largest single items in the entire federal budget, and every year we do nothing, it grows without a vote.
So I am not going to promise you a balanced budget out of pork. What I will promise is that I will never describe the problem as smaller than it is in order to avoid describing the fix. That habit is how we got here, and it is the same habit the first bill is aimed at.
The Social Security numbers are below, spelled out, including what they cost you.
What is actually wrong with it
Social Security is not a savings account with your name on it. Your payroll taxes go straight out the door to this month's retirees, and when you retire, the people working then pay you. There used to be about five workers for every retiree. There are about three now, and the number keeps falling.
The accumulated reserve runs out around 2034. At that point the law does not allow borrowing to cover the difference. Benefits are cut across the board, by roughly a fifth, automatically, for everyone drawing a check. Nobody votes for it. It simply happens on a Tuesday.
Doing nothing is the largest benefit cut on the table. Every candidate promising not to touch Social Security is promising you the automatic version, on schedule, in about eight years. That is not protecting it. That is waiting for it to happen on someone else's watch.
The cap stays where it is
You pay in up to a limit and you collect up to a limit. Taxing income that can never produce a benefit is just a tax with a friendly name on it, and I am not going to do that and then call it insurance. Capped in, capped out.
So the fix has to come from three other places, and all three are below with what they close and who they land on.
Retirement age to 69, then indexed to how long people actually live
Closes roughly a third of the gap. Phased in slowly enough that nobody near retirement is affected, because moving the goalposts on someone who already planned their life around them is the exact behaviour this campaign is against.
No special early track for physically demanding work. That is a real cost and I am not going to dress it up: a body that is finished at 60 is a genuine problem and this does not solve it. Disability is the honest path for that, which is why the application backlog gets fixed until it works as an actual bridge instead of a two-year waiting room.
The benefit formula bends down at the top
Benefits are calculated in brackets. A new bracket gets added at the seventieth percentile of earners, and the rates above it come down. Closes about a fifth of the gap.
By the Congressional Budget Office's own distribution tables, the bottom two thirds of earners see essentially no change at all, the middle fifth moves by under one percent, and the top fifth's benefit comes down about thirteen percent.
We do not need to be sending the largest checks in the system to the people who need them least. If you have earned at the very top your whole career, you are going to get somewhat less back, and you are going to be fine.
The payroll rate goes up one point on each side
From 6.2% to 7.2% for you, and the same for your employer. Closes about half the gap.
This is the sentence every other candidate refuses to say out loud, so let me be plain about it: this is a tax increase and it will come out of your paycheck.
| If you earn | You pay now | You would pay | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| $60,000 | $3,720 | $4,320 | +$50 a month |
| $100,000 | $6,200 | $7,200 | +$83 a month |
| $184,500 or more | $11,439 | $13,284 | +$154 a month |
| Your employer pays the same amount again for you. On a twenty-person shop that is real money and I am not going to pretend it isn't. | |||
Why I am telling you a number nobody else will
Because the two changes above it do nothing before 2034. Not by accident. CBO scores both of them and the same line appears under each: the exhaustion year does not move. Anything phased in gently enough to be fair to people near retirement is, by definition, too slow to matter in the next eight years.
The payroll rate is the only piece of this that arrives in time. Which means every plan that refuses to name a tax increase is a plan to let the automatic cut land and hand the blame to whoever comes next.
I would rather cost you fifty dollars a month and tell you about it in advance than cost you a fifth of your retirement and act surprised.
Medicare
I am not going to set prices. Medicare has set prices since 1965 and that argument was settled before I was born. The only live question is who wrote them and who they were written for.
Same procedure, different building, two and a half times the money
Medicare pays roughly two and a half times more for the same outpatient service performed in a hospital outpatient department than in a doctor's office. Not a harder version of it. The same one. An echocardiogram running eleven or twelve hundred dollars in the hospital ran about three hundred in an office.
Pay the same rate for the same service regardless of the sign on the building. CBO scores that at roughly a hundred and fifty-seven billion dollars over ten years, and note what it is not: it is not a price cut, it is the end of paying two prices for one thing.
It also explains something you have watched happen in your own town. When the hospital system buys the independent practice down the road, the doctor does not change and the room does not change. The billing address changes, and the price goes up. That is the rule creating the consolidation, not the market.
Medicare Advantage, which nobody running for this office will touch
Private plans are paid a benchmark tied to what an average traditional Medicare patient would have cost. Which gives a plan a direct financial interest in documenting its patients as sicker than they are, and they have gotten extremely good at it.
CBO's numbers on this are the largest single figure anywhere on this website. Limiting the ability to upcode saves over a hundred and fifty billion dollars in a decade. Reducing the benchmark by twenty percent would, on its own, fully close the long-term solvency gap in Medicare's hospital trust fund.
Read that again. One correction to how much we overpay private insurers fixes a hole that every candidate in America describes as unfixable without cutting your grandmother's benefits.
This is not government waste in the usual sense. This is private companies extracting from a public program through a formula somebody wrote for them, and the reason you have never heard a candidate say so is sitting in the first bill on this site.
Drugs: the problem is the monopoly window, not the chemistry
Americans pay about two and three quarter times what thirty-three other developed countries pay for prescription drugs. For brand-name drugs it is over four times, and still more than three times after every rebate and discount is accounted for.
Here is the detail that tells you where the problem actually is: our generics are cheaper than theirs. Roughly two thirds of the comparison price. The moment a drug faces real competition, the American market beats the world. The gap is entirely inside the protected window.
So the fix is not price controls. It is ending the practices that stretch that window past its term:
- Patent evergreening, where a trivial reformulation restarts a monopoly clock that should have run out.
- Pay-for-delay, where a brand manufacturer pays a generic competitor to stay off the market. This is a cartel with a contract.
- Blocking reimportation of drugs manufactured to the same standard.
Every one of those is a government-granted monopoly being extended by people who bought the extension. Ending them is deregulation, not intervention.
The middlemen
Three companies decide which drugs are covered and what you pay for about eighty percent of American prescriptions. They negotiate discounts and then keep a share of them, and because their cut is a percentage of the list price, they make more money when the drug costs more.
That incentive is backwards and it is not an accident. Rebates get passed through to the patient at the counter, compensation becomes a flat fee for the work performed rather than a slice of the price, and the arrangement where the insurer, the benefit manager and the pharmacy are all the same corporation gets taken apart.
And the same antitrust argument as the cattle market
In a lot of the country there is one hospital system, it owns most of the practices, and it sets the price because there is nobody else to go to. Four packers, three benefit managers, one hospital system. It is the same shape every time.
I am not asking for a new agency or a new law. The laws against this were written a century ago and they are still on the books. I am asking for them to be enforced, which is the one thing a referee is for.
What this is not. It is not Medicare for All and it is not a voucher. Every item above is one of three things: paying one price for one service, ending a monopoly that has outlived its patent, or enforcing a law that already exists. If that adds up to a large number, it is because the overcharging was large, not because the government got bigger.
Taxes
I just told you the payroll rate goes up. So you are entitled to know whether anything comes back down, and the answer is not yet.
No rate cuts until the budget balances
Not for you, not for corporations, not for anybody. I know that is the opposite of what a candidate is supposed to say, and I know exactly how it sounds next to a payroll increase.
But you cannot spend a page explaining that the deficit is two trillion dollars and then promise to reduce revenue. Everyone who does both is lying about one of them, and usually it is the first one. When the budget balances, we talk about rates. Before that, a tax cut is just a bill handed to somebody younger than you.
Structure, honestly
I have not settled on whether the code should be restructured, flattened or replaced, and I am not going to adopt a slogan to fill the gap. What I will tell you is the test I would apply: a change that quietly moves the burden down the income scale is not simplification, it is a transfer with better branding.
Tariffs
A tariff is a tax. It is collected at the border and paid by the American who buys the thing, and calling it a penalty on another country does not change who writes the check.
I am not against every one of them. A supply chain we genuinely cannot afford to lose is a national security question and gets treated like one. But a tariff used as general revenue, or as leverage in an argument that has nothing to do with security, is a sales tax nobody voted for.
Immigration
Three questions, and every dodge in American politics is a dodge on one of them. Here are all three answered.
The people already here: sorted by category, not by slogan
Mass deportation of everyone is a fantasy with a price tag nobody who proposes it has ever costed out. Blanket amnesty tells every person who waited in line that they were a fool. Neither is a policy, so this gets triaged:
- Criminal record beyond the immigration offense itself: removed. This part is not complicated.
- Brought here as a child, raised here, no record: legal status, and they stop living one traffic stop away from losing everything.
- Long residence, working, paying taxes, clean record: legal status with a fine and back taxes owed.
- Recent arrivals outside that: removed, and the process moves fast enough to be a real answer instead of a five-year docket.
The employers
Here is the part both parties skip. We have spent forty years punishing the person who took the job and almost never the company that offered it, and that is not an oversight. Nobody crosses a border to sit in a field. They cross because there is work, and there is work because it is profitable to hire people who cannot call the labor board.
So: verification is mandatory, the penalty lands on the company, it scales with revenue so it is not a rounding error, and it reaches the executives who set the practice rather than the branch manager who carried it out.
Do that and the demand side collapses, which does more than a wall ever will. The reason it has not been done is that the people who would pay the fine are the people who fund the campaigns, which brings us back to the first bill on this site.
How many people we let in legally: I do not have a number yet
I would rather say that than invent one. The legal system does not look broken to me in the way the rest of it does, and I want to understand what the labor market actually needs before I put a figure on a page and defend it out of stubbornness.
Help with an end date
If you are elderly or disabled, nothing on this page applies to you. Stop reading and go about your day.
For everyone else, assistance should be a ramp back up and not a permanent address. I want a benefit that steps down a little each year across ten years and then finishes, so that the direction of travel is always the same direction.
Two things need saying before that, because most people arguing about welfare are arguing about a program that does not work the way they think it does.
The monthly check is already time-limited
Federal cash assistance has carried a five-year lifetime cap since 1996, and a dozen states set theirs shorter than that. When people picture endless welfare, they are picturing a program that was reformed before some of today's voters were born.
What has no time limit is food assistance, housing assistance and Medicaid, and those are far larger. So that is what I am actually talking about, and I would rather name it than let you assume I mean something easier.
The real trap is a cliff, not a couch
Here is the thing that keeps people where they are, and it is not comfort. A single mother takes a raise of two hundred dollars a month and loses six hundred in benefits the same week. She did the responsible thing and was punished for it in one pay period. Anybody would learn from that.
A benefit that steps down gradually removes the cliff entirely. Every extra hour she works leaves her ahead, every year, all the way out. That is the same policy I started with, and it turns out the strongest argument for it is not that people are too comfortable. It is that the current system fines them for climbing.
What the ten years actually look like
Full benefit at the start. A set reduction each year against a fixed schedule you can see from day one. Clock pauses for verified job loss, for a recession, and for someone caring full-time for a disabled family member. Children keep food and medical coverage regardless of where the adult sits on the schedule, because they did not make any of these decisions.
And the ramp has to lead somewhere. Childcare and transportation are what keep working people out of work, and a step-down attached to nothing on the other end is just a countdown.
Energy, and the markets that are not markets
End every energy subsidy. Not the ones I dislike. All of them.
All of them means all of them
No production credits, no depletion allowances, no solar credits, no wind credits, no electric vehicle credits, no ethanol mandate. Every one of these is the government deciding which energy wins, and every one of them was bought by somebody.
I run a company whose customers are contractors and plants along the Houston Ship Channel. Oil and gas is my client base and my neighbors' livelihood, and I am saying it about them too. If a source cannot stand on its own economics, propping it up with everyone else's money does not make it competitive. It just makes the bill invisible.
Beef, and everything shaped like it
Four companies control more than eighty percent of the fed cattle market. A rancher who wants to sell has a handful of buyers and no leverage, and the spread between what he gets paid and what you pay at the counter has to go somewhere. There is currently a Justice Department investigation into exactly this.
That is not the free market working. It is four firms and a set of rules written comfortably around them, and agriculture is only the example everybody can see. The same shape shows up in hospitals, in pharmacy middlemen, in the software my own industry runs on.
I do not want government setting prices. I want it enforcing the laws already on the books against concentration, which is the opposite of intervention: it is the referee doing the one job that makes a market possible. You cannot say you believe in competition and then defend a cartel because it is privately owned.
Defense
We spend more on defense than the next six countries put together, about a third of all military spending on earth, and the department cannot tell you where it went. Those two facts belong in the same sentence, and almost nobody puts them there.
Pass the audit
Congress required annual audits starting in 2018. The Pentagon has failed eight in a row. It is the only one of the government's major agencies that has never passed, the most recent report found twenty-six material weaknesses, and the programs that auditors could not form an opinion on account for roughly two thirds of the department's budget resources.
Understand what a disclaimer of opinion actually means. It does not mean the auditors found theft. It means the records were in bad enough shape that they could not have found theft if it were there. The Government Accountability Office has had this on its high-risk list since 1995, which is to say for longer than some of the people serving today have been alive.
Nobody is going to fix this with a speech. It gets fixed with a deadline that has teeth: a clean opinion by a stated date, and if it is missed, the department loses a fixed percentage of everything except pay, housing and healthcare, every year, until it is earned.
And this is the part I actually know how to do
The Marine Corps passed. Three years running now. They did it by migrating off their old financial system onto one that could actually produce the numbers, and then doing the unglamorous work of reconciling everything.
So this is not impossible and it is not mysterious. It is a systems migration, and a large one, and I have spent my career doing exactly this at a smaller scale: inheriting records nobody can reconcile, finding out what is really there, and standing up something that produces a number you can trust. Of everything on this website, this is the single item where my actual trade is the qualification rather than an interesting footnote.
Stop buying things the services did not ask for
The F-35 is projected to cost more than two trillion dollars across its life, and the same audit that failed found the department could not properly account for the program's own spare parts.
But the deeper problem is not one aircraft. It is that major programs are deliberately built with suppliers spread across enough congressional districts that killing one means killing jobs in forty states at once. That is not an accident of manufacturing. It is a design feature, and the thing being defended is the contract.
A program that cannot be cancelled is not a weapons system. It is a jobs program with a weapons system attached, and the men who would have to fly it are the last people consulted.
This is the first bill on this site applied to procurement. A member who votes on a program while the contractor's money moves toward him is doing the thing that becomes a felony under section two. Close that and a meaningful share of this problem closes with it, because most of these programs survive on votes that were purchased rather than argued.
Every deployment needs a purpose somebody can say out loud
Consistent with the rest of my foreign policy: every standing deployment gets a written mission, a defined condition for finishing, and a date when Congress has to look at it again and vote. If nobody in the government can describe what completion looks like, it is not a mission. It is an address we have had for a long time.
What does not get cut
Pay. Housing. Healthcare. Family support. The disability system on the other end of it.
Every dollar in this section comes out of procurement, accounting and deployments that outlived their reason. None of it comes out of the person who signed up. If you enlist, the country's end of that deal is not the line item I go looking at when the budget is tight, and the fact that it usually is says more about who was in the room than about what was affordable.
And the same honesty that applies to the earmarks page applies here. Serious procurement reform and a clean audit are worth real money, tens of billions a year, and that is worth doing on principle even if it were worth nothing. But it does not close a two trillion dollar deficit either. If somebody tells you we can balance the budget by cutting Pentagon waste, they are doing the same thing to you from the other direction.
Mind our business
You mind yours, we mind ours. There is one line, and it is nuclear.
We have spent twenty-five years and an enormous amount of money and life rearranging countries that did not ask to be rearranged and did not stay rearranged. I am not interested in doing it again.
What minding our business means
- No nation-building. We do not have a good record at it and neither does anyone else.
- Congress declares war. If a deployment is long enough to need a rotation schedule, it was long enough to need a vote.
- Allies pay their agreed share, and the ones who do get an answer when they call.
- Trade hard, negotiate hard, and stop confusing a trade dispute with a security threat.
The line
A regime that would actually use a nuclear weapon does not get to finish building one. That is the exception, it is the only one, and I am going to be honest about the fact that it is a large exception.
Because here is the trap: every war of the last fifty years was sold to the American public as a narrow exception to exactly this kind of rule. If the threshold is not written down before the pressure arrives, it will be discovered after.
So the threshold gets written down first
- Weapons-grade enrichment plus a delivery program, verified by more than one independent source, and stated publicly before anything happens.
- Sanctions, interdiction, cyber and inspection regimes are exhausted on a published timeline, not skipped because they are slow.
- Any strike goes to Congress. If the case cannot be made to five hundred and thirty-five people, it cannot be made.
- Nonproliferation means a strike on a program, not an occupation of a country. When the program is gone we leave, and that is written into the authorization so nobody has to relitigate it later.
This is the hardest thing on the site to hold consistently, and I would rather show you the seam than pretend it is not there.
Veterans
Fix what is broken, which is access, and stop breaking what is not, which is the care.
My instinct on most things is that a government agency does it worse. I checked, and on this one I was wrong. A review of thirty-seven studies found VA clinical quality and safety equal to or better than private care in most of them, and patient experience equal or better in every one. Where the VA loses is access. Wait times. Getting in the door.
That matters because the standard proposal is to hand every veteran a voucher, which fixes the door by knocking down the building. Private providers are not trained for what comes through that door: one study found eight percent of them understood military culture, against seventy percent inside the VA. And two thirds of veterans say they do not want the voucher.
So: money follows the veteran, standards follow the money
- Routine care goes wherever is closest and fastest, on the government's dime, with no permission slip.
- The VA keeps and expands what it demonstrably does better than anyone: mental health, polytrauma, prosthetics, the long complicated cases.
- Any private provider taking VA money meets VA training standards. If we are buying care for veterans, it is going to be care that knows what a veteran is.
- Disability claims backlog gets fixed, because it is also the bridge for anyone whose body finished before the retirement age did.
Technology, your data, and AI
This is the one where I actually know the work. I have restored companies from ransomware at two in the morning and read breach statutes because I had to, not because somebody briefed me.
Your data belongs to you
Right now the record of your life is an asset on somebody else's balance sheet, and getting it back out is deliberately difficult because difficulty is the business model. One federal standard: you own your data, you can export it in a format something else can read, and deletion means deletion.
Breach notification becomes one national rule instead of fifty state ones. That is not more regulation, it is forty-nine fewer regimes, and the only people who benefit from the current mess are the lawyers who bill for navigating it.
AI is the next hundred turns of the same screw
I am not going to promise you I can stop it. Nobody can stop it, and anyone who says otherwise is selling something. What I can tell you is that we have seen this before, we handled it badly, and the people who paid for it were never the people who decided.
Last time it was manufacturing and the response was a retraining program that existed mostly in press releases. This time it reaches accounting, paralegal work, customer service, entry-level programming, the jobs people took specifically because they were supposed to be safe.
The honest answer is that this is a transition and transitions have a cost, and the only question that has ever mattered is who carries it. I would rather plan for that now, out loud, than discover it afterward the way we did the last time.
Government technology contracts
Nobody runs on this because nobody cares, and it is billions of dollars. Federal systems are bought on contracts written so narrowly that only one vendor can bid, built on platforms nobody can migrate off, by companies who know that the cost of replacing them is the entire reason they get renewed.
I have spent my career inheriting exactly that arrangement from the previous provider. It is the single most boring item on this site and I would fix more real waste here than in every earmark in the appropriations bills combined.
The Second Amendment
No new federal restrictions. The existing prohibitions on felons and people adjudicated incompetent stay where they are.
Red flag laws are a no, and the reason is the same reason I object to everything else on this site: they take a person's property before a hearing, on an accusation, and put the burden on the citizen to win it back. If that process is not good enough for your house or your bank account, it is not good enough here either.
Abortion
No federal ban and no federal legalization. The states decide.
I am not going to pretend that answer satisfies anybody who feels strongly, and I am not going to dress it up as a moral position when it is a jurisdictional one. I do not think this office has the standing to settle it for three hundred and forty million people, and I am consistent about that in a direction both sides will dislike depending on the week.
None of this works while the referee is on the payroll
Every position on this page assumes the people implementing it are trying to. That assumption is the thing that has to be fixed first.
Social Security, with the arithmetic left in
Nobody running for this job shows you these numbers, because there is a cost buried in them and somebody has to pay it. Here is mine, including the part that comes out of your check.